007 · BRIEFING

The week to Friday, 18 September 2026

Every figure below is a stored fact from a primary source, collected as of Friday, 18 September 2026. Sources are footnoted. Primary-source documents for the week are listed below. No commentary was written for this week. All weeks · Review: Q3 2026.

Rates & curve

Treasury curve1, 2, 3 2026-09-18 2026-09-11 the last observation on or before each date
4.6%5.4%2y10y30y2026-09-112026-09-18
Ten-year, real and breakeven2, 6, 7 Nominal Real Breakeven 52 weeks to 2026-09-18
1%6%2025-09-222026-09-17NominalRealBreakeven
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
2-Year Treasury constant maturityDGS2 4.74% +0.18pp 1
10-Year Treasury constant maturityDGS10 5.01% +0.06pp 2
30-Year Treasury constant maturityDGS30 5.35% −0.02pp 3
10Y minus 2Y Treasury spreadT10Y2Y 0.27% −0.06pp 4
Fed funds target range, upper limitDFEDTARU 4.00% +0.25pp 5
10-Year TIPS constant maturity (real yield)DFII10 2.68% +0.13pp 6
10-Year breakeven inflationT10YIE 2.33% −0.03pp 7

Equities

Indices8, 9 52 weeks to 2026-09-18
S&P 500
6,0008,0002025-092026-09S&P 500
Nasdaq Composite
20,00028,0002025-092026-09Nasdaq Composite
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
S&P 500 index levelSP500 7,637.76 −19.22 8
NASDAQ Composite index levelNASDAQCOM 26,418.30 +85.26 9

Credit

Spreads10, 11, 36, 52 52 weeks to 2026-09-18
US investment grade
0.7%1%2025-092026-09US investment grade
US high yield
2.6%3.6%2025-092026-09US high yield
Euro high yield
2.4%3.4%2025-092026-09Euro high yield
EM corporate
1.2%2%2025-092026-09EM corporate
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
ICE BofA US Corporate OASBAMLC0A0CM 0.78% −0.02pp 10
ICE BofA US High Yield OASBAMLH0A0HYM2 2.70% +0.05pp 11
ICE BofA US Corporate Index total return index valueBAMLCC0A0CMTRIV 3,541.41 −1.67 12
ICE BofA US High Yield Index total return index valueBAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV 1,897.82 −5.52 13

FX & commodities

Dollar and crude14, 17 52 weeks to 2026-09-18
Broad dollar index
1171222025-092026-09Broad dollar index
Brent
$40$1402025-092026-09Brent
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
Trade-weighted USD index, broad goods & servicesDTWEXBGS 118.21 +0.14 14
Nominal advanced foreign economies USD indexDTWEXAFEGS 111.77 +0.02 15
WTI crude spot (EIA)DCOILWTICO $107.02 +9.76 16
Brent crude spot (EIA)DCOILBRENTEU $130.80 +21.29 17

Macro data

SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
CPI-U all items, SACPIAUCSL 334.13August 2026 · as known on 2026-09-11 unch. 18
Core PCE price index, SAPCEPILFE 130.66July 2026 · as known on 2026-08-26 unch. 19
Nonfarm payrolls, SAPAYEMS 159,075kAugust 2026 · as known on 2026-09-04 unch. 20
Unemployment rate, SAUNRATE 4.10%August 2026 · as known on 2026-09-04 unch. 21
Atlanta Fed GDPNow real GDP nowcast, SAARGDPNOW 5.08%Q3 2026 · as known on 2026-09-17 +0.66pp 22
U. Michigan consumer sentimentUMCSENT 55.20July 2026 · as known on 2026-07-31 unch. 23

United Kingdom

Gilt curve25, 26, 27 2026-09-18 2026-09-11 the last observation on or before each date
4.8%5.8%5y10y20y2026-09-112026-09-18
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
Bank RateGBPOL 3.75% unch. 24
5-year gilt nominal par yieldGB5Y 4.93% +0.03pp 25
10-year gilt nominal par yieldGB10Y 5.36% +0.04pp 26
20-year gilt nominal par yieldGB20Y 5.74% +0.02pp 27
SONIA, sterling overnight index averageIUDSOIA 3.73% unch. 28
USD per GBPDEXUSUK 1.3524 +0.0003 29
UK unemployment rate, 15 and over, SALRHUTTTTGBM156S 4.90%May 2026 · as known on 2026-09-15 unch. 30
UK real GDP, SA, GBP millionNGDPRSAXDCGBQ 712,545.00Q2 2026 · as known on 2026-09-07 unch. 31

Euro area

Euro area AAA curve33, 34 2026-09-18 2026-09-11 the last observation on or before each date
3.1%3.6%2y10y2026-09-112026-09-18
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
ECB deposit facility rateEAPOL 2.50% +0.25pp 32
Euro area AAA 2-year spot yieldEA2Y 3.17% +0.04pp 33
Euro area AAA 10-year spot yieldEA10Y 3.53% +0.01pp 34
USD per EURDEXUSEU 1.1604 −0.0014 35
ICE BofA Euro High Yield OASBAMLHE00EHYIOAS 2.74% +0.06pp 36
Euro area HICP, all items, NSACP0000EZ19M086NEST 103.66August 2026 · as known on 2026-09-17 +0.44 37
Euro area real GDP, chain-linked, SA, EUR millionCLVMNACSCAB1GQEA19 2,913,099.70Q2 2026 · as known on 2026-09-07 unch. 38

Japan

JGB curve39, 40, 41 2026-09-18 2026-09-11 the last observation on or before each date
1%5%2y10y30y2026-09-112026-09-18
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
2-year JGB yieldJP2Y 1.87% +0.02pp 39
10-year JGB yieldJP10Y 2.99% +0.01pp 40
30-year JGB yieldJP30Y 4.05% +0.02pp 41
JPY per USDDEXJPUS 153.71 −2.40 42
Nikkei 225 index levelNIKKEI225 64,136.25 +124.91 43
Japan unemployment rate, 15 and over, SALRHUTTTTJPM156S 2.40%July 2026 · as known on 2026-09-15 −0.10pp 44
Japan real GDP, chain-linked, SA, JPY billionJPNRGDPEXP 598,950.50Q2 2026 · as known on 2026-09-07 unch. 45

Canada

Government of Canada curve47, 48 2026-09-18 2026-09-11 the last observation on or before each date
3.2%4%2y10y2026-09-112026-09-18
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
Target for the overnight rateCAPOL 2.25% unch. 46
2-year Government of Canada benchmarkCA2Y 3.35% unch. 47
10-year Government of Canada benchmarkCA10Y 3.92% −0.03pp 48
CAD per USDDEXCAUS 1.3864 +0.0030 49
Canada unemployment rate, 15 and over, SALRUNTTTTCAM156S 6.40%August 2026 · as known on 2026-09-15 unch. 50
Canada real GDP, SA, CAD millionNGDPRSAXDCCAQ 631,031.80Q2 2026 · as known on 2026-09-07 unch. 51

Emerging markets

EM spread and volatility53, 54 52 weeks to 2026-09-18
EM high yield corporate
2%4%2025-092026-09EM high yield corporate
EM equity volatility
10502025-092026-09EM equity volatility
SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
ICE BofA EM Corporate Plus OASBAMLEMCBPIOAS 1.34% +0.02pp 52
ICE BofA EM High Yield Corporate Plus OASBAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS 2.81% +0.05pp 53
CBOE Emerging Markets ETF Volatility IndexVXEEMCLS 27.48 +2.22 54
Nominal EM economies USD indexDTWEXEMEGS 126.44 +0.27 55
CNY per USDDEXCHUS 6.7080 −0.0028 56
BRL per USDDEXBZUS 5.1009 −0.0205 57
INR per USDDEXINUS 95.550 +1.060 58
MXN per USDDEXMXUS 16.9704 +0.1074 59
KRW per USDDEXKOUS 1,340.30 −6.21 60

Model-based indicators

SeriesYearLatestWeek changeSource
Term premium on a 10-year zero coupon bond (Board three-factor model)THREEFYTP10 0.96% +0.07pp 61
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions IndexNFCI −0.56 unch. 62
Chicago Fed Adjusted National Financial Conditions IndexANFCI −0.58 +0.01 63
10-year expected inflation (Cleveland Fed model)EXPINF10YR 2.57%September 2026 · as known on 2026-09-11 unch. 64

Policy rate and the two-year

Policy rate and the two-year5, 1, 24, 25, 32, 33, 46, 47 Policy rate Market yield 52 weeks to 2026-09-18
United States
3%5%2025-092026-09Policy rateMarket yield
United Kingdom
3%5%2025-092026-09Policy rateMarket yield
Euro area
1%4%2025-092026-09Policy rateMarket yield
Canada
2%4%2025-092026-09Policy rateMarket yield

Primary sources this week

Documents published 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-18 by the Federal Reserve, the US Treasury and the White House, collected verbatim. Each excerpt is the document's first substantive paragraph, quoted verbatim.

  1. Federal Reserve · FOMC statement · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
    Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

    The Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. The Committee is continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves in the banking system.

  2. Federal Reserve · Summary of Economic Projections · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
    Federal Reserve Board and Federal Open Market Committee release economic projections from the September 15-16 FOMC meeting

    F or release at 2:00 p.m., EDT, September 16, 2026 Summary of Economic Projections In conjunction with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on September 15–16, 2026, meeting participants submitted their projections of the most likely outcomes for real gross…

  3. Federal Reserve · Speech · Friday, 18 September 2026
    Bowman, The Final Chapter on Modernizing Bank Regulatory Stress Testing

    It is especially fitting to gather in the majestic and historic surroundings of Mansion House—a monumental building that has long stood at the center of London's civic and financial life. Its setting reminds us that banking has always depended on public confidence as much as on…

  4. Federal Reserve · Speech · Friday, 18 September 2026
    Bowman, Initial Findings from Independent Review of Silicon Valley Bank

    Today I am announcing the initial findings of the independent review of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).1 In June 2023, I called for an independent review of SVB's failure to supplement the internal review. After I was confirmed as Vice Chair for Supervision, I engaged…

  5. White House · Presidential action · Friday, 18 September 2026
    Enhancing Program Integrity and Integrity and Interagency Coordination in the Administration of the H-1B Nonimmigrant Visa Program

    Section 1. Purpose. The H-1B nonimmigrant visa program was created to identify uniquely skilled and highly specialized foreign temporary workers to strategically supplement the United States economy. Instead, the program has been widely abused by certain employers, third-party…

  6. White House · Presidential action · Friday, 18 September 2026
    Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers

    On September 19, 2025, Proclamation 10973 (Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers) (2025 Proclamation), was issued to address significant abuses of the H-1B nonimmigrant visa program. The restrictions enacted by the 2025 Proclamation have proven to be highly…

  7. White House · Presidential action · Thursday, 17 September 2026
    RESTORING AMERICAN SALTWATER ANGLING AND RECREATION

    Section 1. Purpose and Policy. (a) America’s outdoor recreation sector generates over $1.2 trillion annually and supports over 5 million jobs. To ensure America’s recreational fishing remains strong, Federal fisheries management must appropriately prioritize both recreational…

  8. White House · Presidential action · Thursday, 17 September 2026
    Reinvigorating America’s Hunting Heritage

    Section 1. Purpose and Policy. American hunters, anglers, and landowners are the greatest conservationists the world has ever known. Hunting promotes healthy and robust animal populations, conserves our beautiful wildlife for future generations, and ensures that every American…

  9. White House · Presidential action · Thursday, 17 September 2026
    Withdrawals Sent to the Senate

    Jeffrey Anderson, of Georgia, to be Representative of the United States of America on the Council of the International Civil Aviation Organization, with the rank of Ambassador, which was sent to the Senate on January 13, 2026.

  10. White House · Presidential action · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
    Restoring Reciprocity in Government Procurement

    Section 1. Purpose and Policy. Canada has unreasonably imposed new barriers to United States companies seeking to access the Canadian government procurement market by, among other things, establishing preferences for Canadian products and Canadian content under its “Buy…

  11. White House · Presidential action · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
    Providing Meaningful Water Quality Improvements Through Collaboration and Oversight of Federal Support

    Section 1. Purpose and Policy. The Chesapeake Bay is the largest estuary in the United States and serves a critically important economic purpose to the communities it directly and indirectly touches. In managing the Chesapeake Bay, as with other resources, governmental actors…

  12. White House · Presidential action · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
    Constitution Day, Citizenship Day, and Constitution Week, 2026

    During Constitution Week, we proudly commemorate the 239th anniversary of the signing of the United States Constitution, the very foundation of our Republic and an eternal reminder that all power throughout our land flows from We the People. Over two centuries later, we remain…

  13. White House · Presidential action · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
    National POW/MIA Recognition Day, 2026

    The glorious liberty that makes America the envy of the world has been secured and sustained by brave and selfless patriots from every war and conflict since the founding of our Republic. On National POW/MIA Recognition Day, we pause to pay everlasting tribute to the defenders…

  14. White House · Presidential action · Monday, 14 September 2026
    Nominations Sent to the Senate

    James Lewis Quinn, of Virginia, to be a Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims for the term of fifteen years.

  15. Bank of England · Monetary Policy Summary · Thursday, 17 September 2026
    Bank rate maintained at 3.75% - September 2026 Monetary Policy Summary and Minutes

    At its meeting ending on 16 September 2026, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted by a majority of 6–3 to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75%. Three members voted to increase Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 4%.

  16. Bank of England · Speech · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
    Money and power: lessons from history for stablecoins and US dollar dominance – speech by Carolyn Wilkins

    Thank you for inviting me. It is a pleasure to be here at Queen’s University in Belfast to talk about payment innovations, and what they mean for international money and power.

  17. European Central Bank · Speech · Monday, 14 September 2026
    Christine Lagarde: A new age of capital: growth, sovereignty and AI

    The old city walls had come down and the Ringstrasse was rising where they had stood. Railways were pushing out across the empire. New banks and joint stock companies were being founded by the hundred.

  18. European Central Bank · Speech · Monday, 14 September 2026
    Piero Cipollone: The future of euro cash: trusted today, designed for tomorrow

    Euro banknotes are more than a means of payment. They are something Europeans share, an expression of our common European identity.

  19. European Central Bank · Speech · Monday, 14 September 2026
    Isabel Schnabel: Macroeconomic, fiscal and financial stability in a shock-prone world

    Rubric www.ecb.europa.eu © -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Jan-18 Jul-19 Jan-21 Jul-22 Jan-24 Jul-25 Jan-27 Realised DFR Pre-Iran war forward curve Latest forward curve Median sacrifice ratios during tightening phases 4 Decisive monetary policy brought inflation back to target without…

  20. European Central Bank · Speech · Saturday, 12 September 2026
    Christine Lagarde: Europe seen from Normandy

    It is a particular pleasure to be here. I grew up between the port of Le Havre and the plateau of the Pays de Caux. And while my career has taken me to many other places, my attachment to Normandy has remained strong.

  21. Bank of Japan · Statement on Monetary Policy · Friday, 18 September 2026
    Bank of Japan monetary policy decision, 2026-09-18

    1 The new guideline for money market operations will be effective from September 24, 2026. 2 The new interest rate applied to the complementary deposit facility and the new basic loan rate will be effective from September 24, 2026. 3 The basic loan rate is stipulated in Article…

  22. Bank of Japan · Statement on Monetary Policy · Friday, 18 September 2026
    Bank of Japan monetary policy decision, 2026-09-18

    Change in the Guideline for Money Market Operations (September 2026 MPM) ⚫ Accommodative financial conditions are expected to be maintained, continuing to firmly support economic activity. ⚫ The Bank will continue to raise the policy interest rate and adjust the degree of…

Sources

  1. 2-Year Treasury constant maturity — FRED series DGS2, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS2, vintage 2026-09-17
  2. 10-Year Treasury constant maturity — FRED series DGS10, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10, vintage 2026-09-17
  3. 30-Year Treasury constant maturity — FRED series DGS30, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS30, vintage 2026-09-17
  4. 10Y minus 2Y Treasury spread — FRED series T10Y2Y, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y, vintage 2026-09-17
  5. Fed funds target range, upper limit — FRED series DFEDTARU, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFEDTARU, vintage 2026-09-17
  6. 10-Year TIPS constant maturity (real yield) — FRED series DFII10, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10, vintage 2026-09-17
  7. 10-Year breakeven inflation — FRED series T10YIE, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE, vintage 2026-09-17
  8. S&P 500 index level — FRED series SP500, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SP500, vintage 2026-09-18
  9. NASDAQ Composite index level — FRED series NASDAQCOM, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NASDAQCOM, vintage 2026-09-17
  10. ICE BofA US Corporate OAS — FRED series BAMLC0A0CM, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLC0A0CM, vintage 2026-09-16
  11. ICE BofA US High Yield OAS — FRED series BAMLH0A0HYM2, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLH0A0HYM2, vintage 2026-09-16
  12. ICE BofA US Corporate Index total return index value — FRED series BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLCC0A0CMTRIV, vintage 2026-09-16
  13. ICE BofA US High Yield Index total return index value — FRED series BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLHYH0A0HYM2TRIV, vintage 2026-09-16
  14. Trade-weighted USD index, broad goods & services — FRED series DTWEXBGS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTWEXBGS, vintage 2026-09-14
  15. Nominal advanced foreign economies USD index — FRED series DTWEXAFEGS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTWEXAFEGS, vintage 2026-09-14
  16. WTI crude spot (EIA) — FRED series DCOILWTICO, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DCOILWTICO, vintage 2026-09-16
  17. Brent crude spot (EIA) — FRED series DCOILBRENTEU, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DCOILBRENTEU, vintage 2026-09-16
  18. CPI-U all items, SA — FRED series CPIAUCSL, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL, vintage 2026-09-11
  19. Core PCE price index, SA — FRED series PCEPILFE, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCEPILFE, vintage 2026-08-26
  20. Nonfarm payrolls, SA — FRED series PAYEMS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS, vintage 2026-09-04
  21. Unemployment rate, SA — FRED series UNRATE, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE, vintage 2026-09-04
  22. Atlanta Fed GDPNow real GDP nowcast, SAAR — FRED series GDPNOW, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPNOW, vintage 2026-09-17
  23. U. Michigan consumer sentiment — FRED series UMCSENT, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UMCSENT, vintage 2026-07-31
  24. Bank Rate — BOE series GBPOL, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/, vintage 2026-09-17
  25. 5-year gilt nominal par yield — BOE series GB5Y, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/, vintage 2026-09-17
  26. 10-year gilt nominal par yield — BOE series GB10Y, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/, vintage 2026-09-17
  27. 20-year gilt nominal par yield — BOE series GB20Y, https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/boeapps/database/, vintage 2026-09-17
  28. SONIA, sterling overnight index average — FRED series IUDSOIA, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IUDSOIA, vintage 2026-09-17
  29. USD per GBP — FRED series DEXUSUK, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXUSUK, vintage 2026-09-14
  30. UK unemployment rate, 15 and over, SA — FRED series LRHUTTTTGBM156S, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LRHUTTTTGBM156S, vintage 2026-09-15
  31. UK real GDP, SA, GBP million — FRED series NGDPRSAXDCGBQ, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NGDPRSAXDCGBQ, vintage 2026-09-07
  32. ECB deposit facility rate — ECB series EAPOL, https://data.ecb.europa.eu/, vintage 2026-09-18
  33. Euro area AAA 2-year spot yield — ECB series EA2Y, https://data.ecb.europa.eu/, vintage 2026-09-18
  34. Euro area AAA 10-year spot yield — ECB series EA10Y, https://data.ecb.europa.eu/, vintage 2026-09-18
  35. USD per EUR — FRED series DEXUSEU, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXUSEU, vintage 2026-09-14
  36. ICE BofA Euro High Yield OAS — FRED series BAMLHE00EHYIOAS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLHE00EHYIOAS, vintage 2026-09-16
  37. Euro area HICP, all items, NSA — FRED series CP0000EZ19M086NEST, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CP0000EZ19M086NEST, vintage 2026-09-17
  38. Euro area real GDP, chain-linked, SA, EUR million — FRED series CLVMNACSCAB1GQEA19, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CLVMNACSCAB1GQEA19, vintage 2026-09-07
  39. 2-year JGB yield — MOF series JP2Y, https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/, vintage 2026-09-18
  40. 10-year JGB yield — MOF series JP10Y, https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/, vintage 2026-09-18
  41. 30-year JGB yield — MOF series JP30Y, https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/, vintage 2026-09-18
  42. JPY per USD — FRED series DEXJPUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXJPUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  43. Nikkei 225 index level — FRED series NIKKEI225, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NIKKEI225, vintage 2026-09-17
  44. Japan unemployment rate, 15 and over, SA — FRED series LRHUTTTTJPM156S, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LRHUTTTTJPM156S, vintage 2026-09-15
  45. Japan real GDP, chain-linked, SA, JPY billion — FRED series JPNRGDPEXP, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JPNRGDPEXP, vintage 2026-09-07
  46. Target for the overnight rate — BOC series CAPOL, https://www.bankofcanada.ca/valet/, vintage 2026-09-18
  47. 2-year Government of Canada benchmark — BOC series CA2Y, https://www.bankofcanada.ca/valet/, vintage 2026-09-18
  48. 10-year Government of Canada benchmark — BOC series CA10Y, https://www.bankofcanada.ca/valet/, vintage 2026-09-18
  49. CAD per USD — FRED series DEXCAUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXCAUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  50. Canada unemployment rate, 15 and over, SA — FRED series LRUNTTTTCAM156S, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LRUNTTTTCAM156S, vintage 2026-09-15
  51. Canada real GDP, SA, CAD million — FRED series NGDPRSAXDCCAQ, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NGDPRSAXDCCAQ, vintage 2026-09-07
  52. ICE BofA EM Corporate Plus OAS — FRED series BAMLEMCBPIOAS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLEMCBPIOAS, vintage 2026-09-16
  53. ICE BofA EM High Yield Corporate Plus OAS — FRED series BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLEMHBHYCRPIOAS, vintage 2026-09-16
  54. CBOE Emerging Markets ETF Volatility Index — FRED series VXEEMCLS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/VXEEMCLS, vintage 2026-09-16
  55. Nominal EM economies USD index — FRED series DTWEXEMEGS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTWEXEMEGS, vintage 2026-09-14
  56. CNY per USD — FRED series DEXCHUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXCHUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  57. BRL per USD — FRED series DEXBZUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXBZUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  58. INR per USD — FRED series DEXINUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXINUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  59. MXN per USD — FRED series DEXMXUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXMXUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  60. KRW per USD — FRED series DEXKOUS, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXKOUS, vintage 2026-09-14
  61. Term premium on a 10-year zero coupon bond (Board three-factor model) — FRED series THREEFYTP10, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/THREEFYTP10, vintage 2026-09-15
  62. Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index — FRED series NFCI, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NFCI, vintage 2026-09-16
  63. Chicago Fed Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index — FRED series ANFCI, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ANFCI, vintage 2026-09-16
  64. 10-year expected inflation (Cleveland Fed model) — FRED series EXPINF10YR, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EXPINF10YR, vintage 2026-09-11